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SVPC Prophet 6-Week Daily Forecast

Methodology: Facebook Prophet with additive weekly seasonality, annual seasonality (Fourier order 5), US federal holidays (learned effect per holiday), and a custom summer break effect (Jun 12 – Aug 18). Uncertainty bands are 95% prediction intervals from 1,000 posterior samples and widen correctly with forecast horizon. Denominator: 14 available room-hours per day. Historical data through Apr 12 2026 • Forecast: next 42 days.

Solid line = observed daily utilization (gap days = 0%). Dashed line = Prophet forecast. Shaded band = 95% prediction interval. Holiday and summer-break effects are learned from the historical data and applied to future dates automatically.